Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Mantova
27.9%
Draw
29.6%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Mantova
vs
1.21
Cesena
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).