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09 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.6%
Widzew Lodz
24.4%
Draw
39.0%
Lechia Gdańsk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Widzew Lodz

vs
1.72

Lechia Gdańsk

Markets

BTTS67.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.0%
0-1
5.0%
1-0
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).