Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Cittadella
26.6%
Draw
56.0%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Cittadella
vs
1.65
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
11.5%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).