Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Katowice
21.9%
Draw
16.5%
Stal Mielec
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Katowice
vs
1.01
Stal Mielec
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).