Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Bradford
28.7%
Draw
32.5%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Bradford
vs
0.99
Exeter
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).