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AHT: 10CSV

17 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.5%
Bielefeld
30.4%
Draw
27.1%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Bielefeld

vs
1.00

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).