Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Lecce
21.3%
Draw
8.5%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Lecce
vs
0.55
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.6%
1-0
15.1%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).