Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Sheffield Weds
16.3%
Draw
10.8%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Sheffield Weds
vs
0.68
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).