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12 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Sochi

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.5%
CSKA Moskva
12.3%
Draw
5.2%
Sochi

Expected Goals (xG)

3.03

CSKA Moskva

vs
0.72

Sochi

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
4-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
5-0
5.0%
5-1
3.6%
0-0
3.0%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).