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26 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.5%
LNZ Cherkasy
30.7%
Draw
25.8%
Kryvbas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

LNZ Cherkasy

vs
0.85

Kryvbas

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).