Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Mallorca
24.3%
Draw
47.9%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Mallorca
vs
1.71
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).