Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Gateshead
25.3%
Draw
39.3%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Gateshead
vs
1.63
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).