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AHT: 14CSV

08 Dec 2024 · 14:00

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Verona
28.2%
Draw
38.5%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Verona

vs
1.18

Empoli

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).