Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Wrexham
27.1%
Draw
38.0%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Wrexham
vs
1.45
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).