Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Sp Gijon
23.5%
Draw
22.1%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Sp Gijon
vs
1.01
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).