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12 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.3%
Konyaspor
32.7%
Draw
19.0%
Fatih Karagümrük

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Konyaspor

vs
0.86

Fatih Karagümrük

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.4%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).