Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Zagreb
23.9%
Draw
16.6%
Varaždin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Zagreb
vs
0.96
Varaždin
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).