Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Crawley Town
16.6%
Draw
46.3%
Newmarket Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Crawley Town
vs
3.08
Newmarket Town
Markets
BTTS89.5%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.598.0%
Over 2.593.2%
Over 3.583.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-3
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
5.0%
3-2
4.8%
2-4
4.1%
3-4
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
4-3
3.5%
4-2
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).