Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
St Etienne
19.9%
Draw
13.3%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
St Etienne
vs
0.65
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
14.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).