Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Barnet
27.1%
Draw
28.2%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Barnet
vs
0.97
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).