Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Man United
20.2%
Draw
62.5%
Gorleston
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Man United
vs
2.02
Gorleston
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.7%
1-0
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).