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DHT: 01CSV

06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.6%
Fleetwood Town
25.8%
Draw
37.6%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Fleetwood Town

vs
1.19

Southend

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.4%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).