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24 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
Wurzburger Kickers
25.7%
Draw
36.6%
Greuther Furth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Wurzburger Kickers

vs
1.56

Greuther Furth

Markets

BTTS63.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).