Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.8%
Arsenal
7.0%
Draw
1.3%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
3.36
Arsenal
vs
0.34
Norwich
Markets
BTTS28.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
15.6%
2-0
13.9%
4-0
13.1%
5-0
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
1-1
3.2%
5-1
3.0%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).