Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Cultural Leonesa
29.6%
Draw
44.7%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Cultural Leonesa
vs
1.20
Leganes
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).