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DHT: 00CSV

28 Apr 2018

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Raith Rvs
31.4%
Draw
36.7%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Raith Rvs

vs
1.11

Alloa

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).