Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Lyon
23.4%
Draw
15.4%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Lyon
vs
0.65
Angers
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).