Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Modena
25.8%
Draw
13.8%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Modena
vs
0.69
Avellino
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).