Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
St Mirren
21.0%
Draw
65.3%
Celtic
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
St Mirren
vs
2.09
Celtic
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
5.9%
0-4
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).