Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Cheltenham
24.0%
Draw
36.8%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Cheltenham
vs
1.41
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).