Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Blackpool
29.1%
Draw
33.7%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Blackpool
vs
1.20
Luton
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).