Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →0.8%
Poltava
2.9%
Draw
96.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Poltava
vs
4.66
Shakhtar Donetsk
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.596.3%
Over 2.588.4%
Over 3.574.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-4
11.8%
0-5
11.0%
0-3
10.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-4
5.5%
1-5
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
1-2
3.0%
0-1
2.8%
1-1
1.3%
2-4
1.3%
2-5
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).