Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Salford
23.7%
Draw
40.2%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Salford
vs
1.52
Swindon
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).