Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Frosinone
22.8%
Draw
25.9%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Frosinone
vs
1.21
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).