Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Northampton
30.0%
Draw
32.2%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Northampton
vs
0.93
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
0-1
13.5%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).