Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Morecambe
24.2%
Draw
33.0%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Morecambe
vs
1.19
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).