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AHT: 12CSV

03 Dec 2020 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.8%
Tenerife
31.5%
Draw
32.8%
Sabadell

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Tenerife

vs
0.93

Sabadell

Markets

BTTS37.6%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
0-0
14.7%
0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).