Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Fleetwood Town
24.3%
Draw
28.8%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.06
Crewe
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).