Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Eldense
21.4%
Draw
54.8%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Eldense
vs
2.00
Santander
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-3
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).