Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
Hartlepool
27.1%
Draw
43.3%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Hartlepool
vs
1.54
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).