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AHT: 22

04 Oct 2025 · 16:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.4%
Dinamo Moskva
18.9%
Draw
18.7%
Lokomotiv Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

2.67

Dinamo Moskva

vs
1.46

Lokomotiv Moskva

Markets

BTTS72.3%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.578.1%
Over 3.559.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
4-2
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
4-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).