Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Sarpsborg 08
23.1%
Draw
38.9%
Sandefjord
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.62
Sandefjord
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
0-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).