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DHT: 11CSV

20 Dec 2019 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.1%
Le Havre
27.3%
Draw
16.6%
Chambly

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Le Havre

vs
0.55

Chambly

Markets

BTTS29.9%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
21.3%
0-0
14.7%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
10.3%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.4%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).