Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.6%
Orenburg
27.1%
Draw
60.3%
Zenit
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Orenburg
vs
1.60
Zenit
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-2
14.1%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
3.3%
0-4
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).