Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Swindon
24.7%
Draw
38.1%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Swindon
vs
1.36
Notts County
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).