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02 Dec 2023 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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3.4%
Pendikspor
12.9%
Draw
83.7%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.59

Pendikspor

vs
2.98

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.5%
0-3
12.4%
0-4
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
1-3
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
1-1
6.2%
0-5
5.5%
1-4
5.5%
0-0
4.1%
1-5
3.3%
2-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).