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25 Jan 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.2%
Notts County
25.0%
Draw
32.8%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Notts County

vs
1.21

Bromley

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).