Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Hertha
21.9%
Draw
54.7%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Hertha
vs
2.14
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS66.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
2-1
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
4.5%
0-0
3.6%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).