Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
QPR
28.4%
Draw
33.7%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
QPR
vs
1.24
Swansea
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).