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28 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.6%
Royston Town
22.1%
Draw
9.3%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Royston Town

vs
0.43

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS28.3%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.6%
2-0
17.1%
0-0
11.8%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
2-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).